Student Work

Currency Risk Management: Predicting the EUR/USD Exchange Rate

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This project provides a simple, yet comprehensive approach to predicting movements in the exchange rate between the Euro and the U.S. Dollar through the development of a linear regression model and further fitting the errors by using momentum signals. The predictions generated are compared to the forward rates in order to develop a hedging strategy for deciding when to use a forward contract or wait to use the spot exchange rate. Finally, we analyze the payoffs obtained by using this strategy.

  • This report represents the work of one or more WPI undergraduate students submitted to the faculty as evidence of completion of a degree requirement. WPI routinely publishes these reports on its website without editorial or peer review.
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Identifier
  • E-project-042618-111005
Advisor
Year
  • 2018
Center
Sponsor
Date created
  • 2018-04-26
Localização
  • Zurich
Resource type
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Permanent link to this page: https://digital.wpi.edu/show/9s1617640